Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.538213 11.035915 12.641773 14.485929 16.539297 18.749452 21.302187
2025-06-29 7.695274 9.654451 11.887367 14.601007 17.789062 21.394693 25.758944
2025-07-06 6.460790 8.685362 11.354173 14.751319 18.916959 23.813601 29.956305
2025-07-13 5.673346 8.101185 11.145475 15.174873 20.293616 26.501841 34.515221
2025-07-20 5.005150 7.556824 10.888080 15.454141 21.437849 28.894433 38.756523
2025-07-27 4.362182 6.951515 10.465012 15.441792 22.154167 30.728165 42.320054
2025-08-03 3.640416 6.139448 9.668886 14.838440 22.014985 31.408932 44.385351
2025-08-10 3.151631 5.601550 9.190773 14.608731 22.325160 32.644622 47.167641
2025-08-17 2.709650 5.077453 8.675280 14.268990 22.435320 33.582415 49.549346
2025-08-24 2.374134 4.679104 8.304212 14.097210 22.748731 34.779742 52.288497
2025-08-31 2.048794 4.255447 7.850987 13.758661 22.784040 35.568022 54.464666
2025-09-07 1.850753 4.026082 7.681677 13.833240 23.414263 37.197107 57.837072
2025-09-14 1.640273 3.750425 7.415011 13.738508 23.786826 38.474475 60.764281
2025-09-21 1.497776 3.583263 7.313723 13.896017 24.541510 40.319979 64.542829
2025-09-28 1.371803 3.431633 7.224023 14.060895 25.305621 42.193245 68.401753
2025-10-05 1.295288 3.369664 7.285831 14.477489 26.476515 44.699067 73.238965
2025-10-12 1.205677 3.268704 7.266779 14.750338 27.421167 46.883750 77.649388
2025-10-19 1.088780 3.093041 7.092960 14.740099 27.898642 48.362523 81.038002
2025-10-26 0.919366 2.773952 6.616121 14.159556 27.402853 48.315984 82.123222
2025-11-02 0.808677 2.573469 6.350819 13.938598 27.489399 49.166396 84.573218
2025-11-09 0.700678 2.361267 6.040838 13.611534 27.373756 49.683861 86.513280
2025-11-16 0.619318 2.202693 5.825865 13.446175 27.523462 50.619705 89.111094
2025-11-23 0.534465 2.018965 5.538554 13.120245 27.371478 51.055284 90.927500